BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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American Univ

Class: 1 Class Rank: 303 Conference: Patriot Record: (8-11) Overall: (9-21) Overall Strength =   25.34

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-09-2022 Away    L     6.03  45  96    1  60 ( 16- 17) DePaul                -19.74 *  -31.26                      
  2 11-17-2022 Home    L    31.10  62  67    1 154 ( 18- 13) G Washington            5.33    -10.33                      
  3 11-20-2022 Home    L    39.08  60  74    1  59 ( 15- 15) Virginia               13.31 *  -27.31                      
  4 11-24-2022 Neutral L    43.78  65  90    1   7 ( 25-  5) Notre Dame             18.01 *  -43.01                      
  5 11-25-2022 Neutral L    36.64  61  70    1 102 (  8- 20) Arizona St             10.87    -19.87                      
  6 11-30-2022 Home    L    12.75  70  83    1 270 ( 14- 13) Howard                -13.02      0.02                      
  7 12-03-2022 Away    L    28.25  59  71    1 181 ( 16- 15) George Mason            2.48    -14.48                      
  8 12-06-2022 Away    L    25.43  42  83    1  16 ( 28-  5) Villanova              -0.34 *  -40.66                      
  9 12-10-2022 Home    L     6.94  41  59    1 284 ( 12- 17) Marist                -18.83      0.83                      
 10 12-18-2022 Away    W    31.24  70  68    1 289 ( 14- 15) UMBC                    5.47     -3.47                      
 11 12-21-2022 Away    L    23.12  50  66    1 191 ( 16- 13) Delaware               -2.65    -13.35                      
 12 12-30-2022 Home    W *  29.12  75  65    1 328 ( 10- 19) Lafayette               3.35      6.65                      
 13 01-02-2023 Away    W *  40.91  52  37    1 320 ( 10- 20) Loyola MD              15.14     -0.14                      
 14 01-05-2023 Home    L *  15.92  45  62    1 207 ( 21-  8) Holy Cross             -9.85     -7.15                      
 15 01-08-2023 Away    L *  33.58  63  73    1 137 ( 22-  7) Boston Univ             7.81    -17.81                      
 16 01-11-2023 Home    L *   2.48  56  77    1 297 ( 12- 16) Army                  -23.28      2.28                      
 17 01-14-2023 Home    L *  31.47  77  79    1 201 ( 16- 13) Lehigh                  5.70     -7.70                      
 18 01-18-2023 Away    L *  22.24  57  59    1 328 ( 10- 19) Lafayette              -3.53      1.53                      
 19 01-21-2023 Home    W *  31.61  59  57    1 240 ( 16- 13) Colgate                 5.84     -3.84                      
 20 01-25-2023 Away    L *  27.60  62  63    1 297 ( 12- 16) Army                    1.84     -2.84                      
 21 01-28-2023 Home    W *  18.41  62  55    1 357 (  1- 29) Navy                   -7.36     14.36                      
 22 02-04-2023 Away    L *  30.73  48  52    1 240 ( 16- 13) Colgate                 4.96     -8.96                      
 23 02-08-2023 Home    L *  19.46  40  59    1 137 ( 22-  7) Boston Univ            -6.31    -12.69                      
 24 02-11-2023 Away    W *  40.04  67  65 1  1 207 ( 21-  8) Holy Cross             14.27    -12.27                      
 25 02-15-2023 Home    L *  16.83  52  64    1 248 ( 13- 16) Bucknell               -8.93     -3.07                      
 26 02-18-2023 Away    L *  21.59  49  66    1 201 ( 16- 13) Lehigh                 -4.17    -12.83                      
 27 02-22-2023 Away    W *  28.53  61  49    1 357 (  1- 29) Navy                    2.76      9.24                      
 28 02-25-2023 Home    W *  28.79  67  59    1 320 ( 10- 20) Loyola MD               3.02      4.98                      
 29 03-01-2023 Away    L *  30.96  66  69    1 248 ( 13- 16) Bucknell                5.19     -8.19                      
 30 03-04-2023 Home    W *  18.41  78  71    1 357 (  1- 29) Navy                   -7.36     14.36                      
      Averages              25.77  58.7 66.9

Best game:   43.78 = 25 point loss to Notre Dame
Worst game:   2.48 = 21 point loss to Army
Team stdev:  10.42